Making the frontier sector work
Many of the networks of value could start to become ‘utilities’ as they become more embedded in everyday lives
In the
previous article, we introduced the idea of the D-sector. The three traditional
sectors have a well-defined, or largely settled, understanding of the many
elements that build them: (1) what resources are required, (2) employment and
its regulations, (3) the path to skills, (4) how they are priced and valued,
(5) taxation policies, and (6) their impact on society. We detail these below.
Defining
the D-sector
Resources
required: Five
elements are required to build a sturdy ‘digital cocoon’: the ability to (1)
get on a network, (2) communicate and connect, (3) add value, (4) make and
receive payments and (5) access assets and liabilities. We detailed these in
the earlier article. There is a role for both the public and the private sector
in creating the networks. Many networks that help create value in the fourth sector
are largely private today: think of Facebook, Uber, Amazon, AirBnB, MTurk,
Fiverr, YouTube or any of the streaming networks, etc. Payment systems like UPI
have been developed in the public domain. Over time, many of the networks of
value could start to become ‘utilities’ as they start to become more embedded
in everyday lives of people as anyone with an MS Teams or Zoom meetings
will attest!
Employment: Since the network creates value
by linking together buyers and sellers (terms which are used in the widest
sense possible), it commands a value. Building credibility on the network,
currently billed via “stars” or “like” or “followers” is hence a sine qua non.
The employment or income potential on the network gets impacted by the policies
of the network. Since this is a new way of earning, it has been hotly contested
on whether those who come on the network are employees or partners; or whether
the medium carries any responsibility for the messages. Popularly called ‘gig’
work, building long-term incomes, creating the ‘forced savings’ like provident
funds, getting advantages of cheaper group insurances, etc. need to be
re-imagined. Banks need to develop new models of financing such professionals,
especially as the hardware requirements to get on the networks are typically
required to be borne by the participant. Transferability or inter-operability
of the “credibility” from one network to another will be crucial for
participants, especially since networks, like trade routes and fashions, can
wax and wane.
Skills
and education: The
pathways for jobs in the three traditional sectors required building specific
skills which were honed via specialized education and on-the-job training. While
the importance of the deep skills will continue, the fast-paced nature of
change will require learning and relearning new technical skills, if only to
remain on the network or to move between them. This will require constant learning
interventions which will have to be designed to be easy to consume, understand,
assess, and measure. The quality of learning itself will need to be
standardized and benchmarked. Carrying the right certifications, which can be
verified, as part of the digital profile will become the new CV.
Pricing
and valuation: One
of the most-quoted phrases of the tech economy is: “if it is free, you are
probably the product”. It is amazing how some of the most valuable online
activities – from communication to search – are essentially free. Starting
positions have a strong anchoring bias: since we have all become accustomed to
free, or deeply discounted, services, many industries in the “digital cocoon”
have found it difficult to find the right monetization model. There are now
moves to create (or redistribute) value: for example, Australia has recently
proposed a law which requires dissemination networks to pay for information
content. The relative share of value between the network and the participants
will take time to reach an equilibrium – and the path will not be linear.
Taxation: If the value distribution is
either zero, unknown, or unsettled, this leaves the tax authorities in a
quandary. Over the last many years, the idea of Base Erosion and Profit
Shifting (BEPS) for multinationals in the traditional sectors has stated to
fall in place: companies moving their profits from high to low jurisdictions
are now expected to be checked via international cooperation in taxation.
Digital taxation continues to remain an unsettled area: the US-French dispute
of taxing French wines is response to tax on American digital giants is a case
in point; the Apple/Ireland-EU tax case is another. As economic value is
created by the D-sector and gains from it accrue to the owners and participants
of the networks, finding the right model to tax will be help generate the funds
required in creating the pathways for people in the society to enter the
D-sector.
Societal
impact: Manufacturing
and services led the need for urbanization and dense close networks of people
working together. The idea of “work from anywhere” will upend the need to be
present in dense cities. Many of the largest cities in the world today continue
to remain port or riverside cities – they derive their roots from the
industrial clustering over the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries on which the
services economy of the twentieth century built upon. However, as the
information technology reduced the need to be near a port, cities like
Bengaluru, Hyderabad and Gurugram in India scaled up. As the fourth sector of
work, especially the delivery of services, entertainment or gaming online picks
up, it could have a profound reshaping of the geographies, especially in the
current tier-2 cities. A specific aspect that banks and monetary authorities should
keep an eye out for: as some of these networks become islands of value, they may
become systems which require only infrequent conversion of their internal
“currencies” with the external world.
The author is with Axis Bank. Views are personal.
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